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Estimates and projections

Statistics about the size, composition, and geographic distribution of New Zealand’s population. Find:

Estimates – latest statistics

National population estimates (next release 14 August 2014)
Annual information release for New Zealand population by age and sex..

National population estimates – tables (next release 14 August 2014)
Quarterly table updates in Infoshare – subject category: Population; group: Population estimates.

Subnational population estimates (next release 22 October 2014)
Annual information release for regional council and territorial authority area population estimates (provisional) by age and sex.

Subnational population estimates – tables (next release 22 October 2014)
Table updates in NZ.Stat and Infoshare for regional council and territorial authority areas; area units and other local areas; and broad ethnic groups in census years.

Dwelling and household estimates – tables (next release 7 October 2014)
National dwelling and household estimates from 1991 by tenure.

Māori population estimates – tables (next release 13 November 2014)
Estimates of the Māori ethnic population of New Zealand by age and sex.

Historical population estimates – tables (next release 14 August 2014)
Other national population estimates, including estimates by sex from 1926.

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Projections – latest statistics

National population projections (next release 28 November 2014)
Information release for New Zealand population  projections by age and sex.

National population projections – tables (next release 28 November 2014)
New Zealand population projections by age and sex in NZ.Stat.

Subnational population projections (next release early 2015)
Information release for regional council and territorial authority area population projections by age and sex. 

Subnational population projections – tables (next release early 2015)
Regional council and territorial authority area population projections by age and sex in NZ.Stat.

Area unit population projections – tables (next release 2015)
Area unit ('suburb') population projections by age and sex in NZ.Stat.

National ethnic population projections (next release 2015)
Information release for New Zealand Māori, Pacific, Asian, and European ethnic population projections by age and sex.

National ethnic population projections – tables (next release 2015)
New Zealand Māori, Pacific, Asian, and European ethnic population projections by age and sex in NZ.Stat.

Subnational ethnic population projections (next release 2015)
Regional council and territorial authority area ethnic population projections by age and sex.

National labour force projections (next release 2015)
Information release for New Zealand labour force projections by age and sex.

National labour force projections – tables (next release 2015)
New Zealand labour force projections by age and sex in NZ.Stat.

National family and household projections (next release 2015)
Information release for New Zealand family and household projections by broad family type and household type.

Subnational family and household projections (next release 2016)
Information release for regional council and territorial authority area family and household projections by broad family type and household type.

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Related statistics

Interactive population pyramid for New Zealand 
New Zealand's changing age-sex distribution over time.

Local population trends
Graphs showing past and future trends in population change for regional council and territorial authority areas.

Projections overview
An overview of the demographic trends from latest projections

Use NZ.Stat to access and customise further breakdowns of population estimates and projections. Find out more about NZ.Stat.

Infoshare
Use Infoshare to access time-series population estimates data. Select the following categories:
Subject category: Population
Groups: Population estimates and Demography dwelling and household estimates and Demography national family and household projections 

Find out more about Infoshare.

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Reports and articles

Forecasting mortality in New Zealand (published 2014) 
Description of a new method for formulating mortality assumptions that was implemented in official New Zealand population projections in 2012. This paper is one of the Statistics New Zealand Working Paper series.

Evaluation of administrative data sources for subnational population estimates (published 2013)
Describes the potential for four administrative data sources to improve subnational population estimates.

How will New Zealand's ageing population affect the property market? (published 2013)
A paper considering some of the implications of an ageing population for the property market.

Planning for the future: Structural change in New Zealand’s population, labour force, and productivity (published 2012)
An overview of the demographic projections at the heart of fiscal sustainability.

Projections overview
An overview of the demographic trends from latest projections.

See more estimates and projections reports and articles.

Information about data

Get technical information such as classifications used, survey design, and a glossary of statistical terms.

DataInfo+
DataInfo+ allows you to search and browse for information about our statistical activities and data. Find information about the concepts used in the population estimates data:

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